Posts

LATEST ARTICLE

Will this crisis permanently change Asia’s energy strategy?

Image
Asian Fuel-Security Crisis After Hormuz: Why Asia Still Faces an Energy Squeeze The Strait of Hormuz may not be completely shut, but for Asia’s fuel market it is far from normal. The crisis is increasingly moving from crude-oil availability to shortages and high prices for the fuels economies actually consume. What Is Happening Now Shipping through Hormuz remains heavily suppressed. Reuters reported on August 24 that only four commodity vessels crossed the strait on Sunday and 13 on Saturday. UK maritime data estimates detected traffic is still roughly 90% below pre-conflict levels , although vessels operating without tracking signals mean the exact picture remains disputed. Asia’s Fuel Problem Is Getting Deeper The bigger concern is refined fuel. Kpler data cited by Reuters estimates Asian imports of light and middle distillates at about 5.59 million barrels per day in August , around 21% below the pre-war average. Diesel, jet fuel and gasoline markets therefore remain tight even whe...

Can Iran turn control of Hormuz into lasting geopolitical influence?

Image
Hormuz as an Instrument of Selective Energy Diplomacy: Iran Turns a Chokepoint into Leverage The Strait of Hormuz is no longer simply open or closed. Iran is increasingly deciding who gets through , transforming geography into a powerful instrument of selective energy diplomacy. What Is Happening Now? Iran has granted special permission for several Iraqi oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz after repeated diplomatic requests from Baghdad. Iraq has been particularly exposed because its oil exports depend heavily on Gulf access. Yet normal shipping remains far away. Ship-tracking data cited by Reuters showed only seven commodity vessels crossed Hormuz on Thursday , compared with roughly 140 daily ship passages before the war. No large crude carriers or LNG tankers were recorded among those seven. Why It Matters This creates something more politically useful to Tehran than a simple blockade: selective access . Reuters previously documented an Iranian clearance system involving...

Why Russian Refineries Are Becoming a Key Battlefield

Image
Ukraine’s Oil War: Can Attacks on Russian Energy Infrastructure Change the Conflict? Ukraine is increasingly fighting Russia far beyond the battlefield. Its drones are targeting the oil infrastructure that helps fuel Russia’s economy and its war machine. What Is Happening Now? Ukraine pushes deeper into Russia Ukraine says a drone attack has struck an oil refinery in Perm, more than 1,600 kilometres from the Ukrainian border. Russia also reported intercepting hundreds of Ukrainian drones during the latest wave of attacks. The Perm strike follows months of attacks on refineries and energy facilities. Reuters reported recent strikes affecting facilities including Orsk, TANECO, Ilsky, Yaroslavl, Volgograd and Saratov. Why It Matters Energy is becoming a battlefield Oil is important to Russia because energy supports government revenues and military activity. Kyiv says its campaign is designed to reduce the resources available for Moscow’s war effort. The pressure is becoming visible domest...

US Envoy’s Kashmir Remark: A Diplomatic Win for India

Image
US Envoy’s Kashmir Remark: A Diplomatic Win for India For India, Jammu and Kashmir is not a question awaiting foreign mediation—it is an integral part of the country. Now, a striking remark by America’s envoy has given New Delhi an important diplomatic moment. What Is Happening Now? US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor visited Jammu and Kashmir and publicly called it an “important part of India.” He also praised improvements in security and indicated that Washington could reconsider its travel advisory for the region. Pakistan reacted immediately, summoning the senior US diplomat in Islamabad and lodging a formal protest. For India, however, the diplomatic symbolism is difficult to ignore. Why It Matters for India A Boost to India’s Long-Standing Position New Delhi has consistently maintained that Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of India and rejects third-party mediation. Gor’s choice of words therefore carries significance. He is not merely a visiting foreign politician; he is th...